GOVERNED DECISION-INTELLIGENCE (GDI)

Authors

  • MESBAUL HAQUE SAZU Independent Researcher

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.22278120

Keywords:

governed decision intelligence; decision quality; model-risk management; SR 11-7; conformance; validation; calibration; split-conformal prediction; adverse-action explainability; data veracity; evidence; regulated decision systems.

Abstract

Production analytics increasingly sits in the control path of consequential, often regulated decisions - which claim to pay, which applicant to approve or decline, which risk-adjustment code to submit. The model is only one component, and a technically healthy service can still be an indefensible decision-maker when data quality, feature lineage, calibrated uncertainty, explanation, human oversight, and realized outcomes are governed unevenly. This paper specifies Governed Decision-Intelligence (GDI), a framework whose unit of assurance is the decision rather than the model and whose deliverables are validation, conformance, and audit defensibility. GDI composes established instruments - the SR 11-7 model-risk lifecycle, the NIST AI Risk Management Framework, ISO/IEC management and data-quality standards, exact TreeSHAP attribution, split-conformal prediction, post-hoc calibration, and distributional drift statistics - into one testable control structure delivered as four instruments: a seven-layer reference architecture with an explicit governance spine and closed outcome loop; eight normative invariants at RFC 2119 strength with a conformance rubric; a model-risk and validation methodology; and an evidence-and-explanation model that binds every decision to the sources, versions, calibrated confidence, and deterministic explanation required to reconstruct and defend it. The decision-quality target is grounded in a construct model relating analytics use, competency, and decision quality, with testable hypotheses. The framework is portable across regulated domains and is instantiated for risk-adjustment coding, credit underwriting with adverse-action obligations, governed credit-decisioning delivery, payment-integrity analytics, and as a normative engineering standard. GDI governs how a decision is produced and certified; the run-time operation of the system that then acts on the decision is the concern of a companion production-platform architecture, with which GDI is composable.

Author Biography

MESBAUL HAQUE SAZU, Independent Researcher

Independent Researcher

References

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Supervisory Guidance on Model Risk Management (SR 11-7).

National Institute of Standards and Technology. AI Risk Management Framework 1.0.

ISO/IEC 42001, Artificial Intelligence Management System; ISO/IEC 23894, AI Risk Management.

ISO/IEC 25012 and ISO/IEC 5259 data-quality models; ISO 8000 data quality.

ISO/IEC/IEEE 29148, Requirements Engineering; RFC 2119, Key Words for Requirement Levels.

Lundberg, S. and Lee, S. A Unified Approach to Interpreting Model Predictions (SHAP); exact TreeSHAP for tree ensembles.

Vovk, V., Gammerman, A., and Shafer, G. Algorithmic Learning in a Random World; split-conformal prediction.

Platt, J. Probabilistic Outputs for SVMs; Zadrozny and Elkan, isotonic calibration; Guo et al., temperature scaling.

Naeini, M. P. et al. Obtaining Well-Calibrated Probabilities (expected calibration error).

Population Stability Index; Kolmogorov–Smirnov statistic; Jensen–Shannon divergence for distributional drift.

Equal Credit Opportunity Act / Regulation B; adverse-action notice requirements; adverse-impact ratio and the four-fifths rule.

Mitchell, M. et al. Model Cards for Model Reporting; Gebru, T. et al. Datasheets for Datasets.

Klein, G. and others; analytics-capability and decision-quality construct model (analytics use, competency, decision quality).

Kimball / CRISP-DM: the descriptive-to-prescriptive analytics lifecycle; ISO/IEC/IEEE 42010 and ATAM for architecture description and evaluation.

Published

2023-01-20

How to Cite

[1]
MESBAUL HAQUE SAZU 2023. GOVERNED DECISION-INTELLIGENCE (GDI). IPHO-Journal of Advance Research in Business Management and Accounting. 1, 1 (Jan. 2023), 01–10. DOI:https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.22278120.